01.31.08
Thanks to MSUG Newsletter
The most recent copy of the MSUG newsletter has some content from thesimblog.org. Please visit the MSUG website for more information the Michigan Simulation Users Group.
01.30.08
CPDA Design/Simulation
From CPDA - information on an upcoming conference….
What? Design/Simulation Workshops
When? May 13th and 14th, 2008 (kick-off reception May 12th @ 6:30 pm)
Where? Georgia Tech, Atlanta, Georgia
visit https://cpd-associates.com?download=08Atlanta
Plan now to join leading industry analysts from CPDA, members of CPDA’s Design/Simulation Council, leading-edge end users, and top academic researchers from Georgia Tech on May 13th and May 14th for two workshops that will explore the latest thinking on the critical issues facing design and simulation. At CPDA’s Developing a Design/Simulation Framework Workshop, which takes place on Tuesday, May 13th, attendees will discover what members of CPDA’s Design/Simulation Council and other leading-edge users have been doing to further a standard framework for simulation employing common terminology, to integrate and optimize the divergent specialist activities currently fragmenting design efforts.
The status of the technology currently available will be reviewed and an updated scorecard will be available. End users who are implementing pilot programs will also be on hand to discuss actual results and targets. The workshop will consider the following critical areas:
- Simulation Data Management: Simulation data, Meta data, and context data.
- Simulation Process Support: Standardized work procedures and optimization loops, change process and configuration control, and collaboration processes.
- Simulation Integration Framework: Design and simulation applications, links and data exchange, and multi-disciplinary workflow execution.
After hearing the presentations and joining in the interactive discussions on these topics you will be able to answer the following questions as they relate to your own situation:
01.29.08
My Sim Project Awards
Over the past twenty some years I have been involved in many simulation projects. I thought it would be fun to hand out a few awards…. I’d be interested to hear about your projects, the good, the bad, and the ugly…..
Most Tedious - Mass Transit Railroad model in Hong Kong. I spent three weeks collecting data in the Hong Kong subway system to feed a model that was used to estimate the amount of time necessary to evacuate their busiest station in an emergency. It was a pretty cool model but collecting data on the movement of humans in and around the station was a little mind numbing.
Most Unusual- This project was for a Finnish company that was selling the equipment to build aluminum framed pre-fab houses. We created a model to optimize the sequence for processing orders to maximize throughput. The unusual part was all of the trig to assemble various standard pieces into different truss formations. At heart it was a scheduling model but in the end, the visualization of the truss formation allowed the company to communicate their vision to potential customers
Most Frustrating - Sometimes simulations are built because someone has the money. The problem is sometimes you don’t know this going in. I built a model for an automotive body shop. They were having problems with throughput. The bottom line was there were two competing ideas how to resolve the throughput problem. A new conveyor section and a new turntable. The simulation showed that either one would suffice and there was really no difference between the ideas. In the end, the customer decided to do both since there was room in the budget. This was completely unneccessary and 100% automotive in the 1990’s.
Most Useful - Sometimes models live longer than you expect. We have been working with a heavy truck manufacturer over the past 11 years. We have a working model of their paint shop that has been used at least once a year to resolve scheduling issues, plan for process changes, and evaluating potential capital plans. When we first built the model we had no idea how many times we would revisit it. I guess the lesson is to build every model like it will last forever.
Most Intricate - One of the most difficult models I ever built was the strike up operations for a planned cargo ship. The model involved forklifts that could drive anywhere on the ship and rode elevators to get between levels. The ship was organized into three hold, five decks, and four quadrants per room. The cargo was located in an X,Y location within the quardrant. I developed algorithms to drive the vehicle anywhere on the ship in 3D and avoid other obstacles. The main goal was to estimate the time for the strike up operations. As the rooms became more and more empty, it was possible to take a more direct path to the next piece of cargo.
Most Unorganized - One of the first projects I worked on was for an automotive general assembly shop. We had weekly meetings on the design of the various sub-systems. Each week I would get layout changes and new concepts for simulation. Inevitably, I would build models for a week and when I showed up at the weekly meetings, the layouts had changed completely and anything I had from a simulation perspective was irrelevant. After this happened four times, I stopped building models until something stayed the same for at least two weeks.
Share your unique project stories using the ”comment” box below…..
01.28.08
White Board Physics
I thought this was really cool. Imagine the possibilities for model building when we can get interfaces that approach this ease of use level.
The Other Half of Why
Communicating ideas. In addition to the statistical merits of simulation, models provide an opportunity to bring people together very early in a project.
There are many ways to discuss the merits and challenges of a proposed system — written specifications, spreadsheets, CAD models, physical models, etc. These things all provide a perspective on a system and a forum to discuss how well the system will live up to our expectations.
- Can the bids from competing vendors be compared fairly? (specifications)
- Can the system meet the proposed targets on a gross or average level? (spreadsheets).
- Will the material for an assembly line fit by its designated station? (CAD models)
- Do the end users of the system have feedback about the design of the system and how it will impact them from an ergonomic standpoint? (physical models)
The bottom line is communication. When a large project involves disparate groups of people, one main goal for any effort has to be to improve communication within the team. Almost every project has changes during its evolution. Often these changes are required when the group realizes that the system design is lacking in some key area. The reason for this oversight is often communication. The earlier these changes can be found in a system, the cheaper the changes.
So how does simulation fit into this conversation? I would say that time and visualization. We all think of statistical output when presented with simulations.
- Am I going to make throughput even after my expected downtime?
- What percent utilization will my workforce have?
- What is the average wait time for a vehicle trying to make a left turn?
- How long will it take to evacuate a crowded train station?
But what about the unspoken aspects of a system? Simulation provides a way to appreciate a system over time. Most other analyses are static. Simulation gives life the system and shows its ebb and flow. This is especially true at the boundaries of a model. For example, when modeling an automobile factory the modeler has to consider the arrival of parts. The modeler could assume that parts are always available. Or the line could be drawn at the modeling of the unloading process. Or maybe a detailed arrival schedule for trucks from various vendors. The challenge is that somewhere a portion of a process is modeled and the rest is assumed. Getting these assumptions right is one key to a successful model.
During the validation and verification of a model, bring in as any people as practical on the project. During the specification process, you do your best to extract estimates, collect data, and detail the exact proposed operation of a system. Many people do not work well with numbers. Visual simulations over time bring out the critic in every one. You need this critic. When you show your model running the proposed system, people will point out what you didn’t model. While this seems negative, it really is a positive because it brings out a conversation earlier and helps find the system design problems that are not statistical.
A worker unloading trucks might point out that he has paperwork to do for each truck that is unloaded. While you considered the time for him to operate the forklift, you failed to consider the time for paperwork. Another example could be ergonomics related. In collecting downtime data for a system you find comparable equipment in a factory that is running today. You have plenty of samples and you have fit the MTTR and MTBF to distributions for use in your model. It is isn’t until you invite the operators into a meeting that you realize that the layout of the line in the new factory means that operators have to walk a lot further (maybe even cross a line via a stairway) than they did in the other factory due to line layout. This will lengthen their response times and change your expected availability.
A simulation project specification or review is often the first time that a large team gets to hear the concerns of others on the project. It is an excellent forum for discussing the competing interests in a system. Having a visual rather than a numeric view of the system engages people in these conversations. You don’t have to model the Coke machine in the break room but it might be useful to show where the break room is on the layout. Empirically, I think that communication provides 50% of the benefit on any simulation project. Just like most things in life, the journey is more important than the destination. If you communicate throughout the process, the customers for the model will feel like owners and you will have a better chance of implementing the ideas that arise.
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FYI -
Google’s main page today has a tribute to the 50th anniversary of the Lego Block. I guess that’s another way to model a system. About 8 years ago I worked on a project with a company that used Legos to building a miniature version of a production line. They then hooked up the Lego model to a real world control system and used it to train workers on how to interface with the proposed plant floor systems (data entry, RFID scanners, error handling, shipping procedures, etc). It was a very effective way to introduce a new process without the footprint of a traditional factory.
01.25.08
WSC ‘08 Author Kit
WSC is coming to Miami this year. The Author’s kit for the Winter Simulation Conference has been posted to their website. I’ll be handling the Exhibits and Sponsorship portions of the conference this year. Feel free to post any questions about the conference in general and I can get you in contact with the proper person.
The Left Handed Pastry Fork….
My father told me this story several years ago. He was working as a VP of Manufacturing for Oneida. An engineer cames into his office…
Engineer.. “You know, we really should make left handed pastry forks. It unfair that they are only made for right handed people”
Dad.. “Good point, I could see that”
Engineer.. “Good because we just made 300,000 of them by mistake!!”
We have all been led in a conversation. We have all had people try to convince us that what we need is exactly what they are selling. That the idea of a left handed pastry fork is a good one (they do actually sell them). Be aware of this during the simulation projects. Be wary of the simulation modeler try to explain away results that just don’t fit and be wary of the customer that wants to twist results to fit their pre-defined conclusions. Consider the motive. Don’t buy the left handed pastry fork unless you are truly left handed.
01.24.08
Video Welcome!!!
Do you have a simulation video that you want to show off? I can reference video files in the blog. I’ve posted a sample video from a past project as an example. Post a comment if you are interested in placing a video on the blog. This one is currently loaded on youtube.
New Poll: How do you Sim?
Just added a poll to find out what simulation products are used the most. The link is on the right side of the page. Feel free to leave comments here about the best applications for each type of commercial product.



